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Showing posts with the label New Hampshire

Thoughts about the Democrat Primary

Feel the BERN! Bernie Sanders is a huge surprise.  A guy almost 80 years old from a tiny state dominating the youth vote.  He's going to win big in New Hampshire.  That will create a massive momentum shift in his direction.  I think he's in this til the Convention. Hillary is counting on the minority vote in the South but an interesting analysis by Dick Morris points out that while there are some Southern State primaries coming up there are also Northern State primaries coming up.  The potential votes in the near term North and South primaries balance each other out.  He feels the decision won't be made until March 15. The article is at http://www.dickmorris.com/no-firewall-for-clinton/#more-17238 Hillary has lots of cash.  But Bernie has money and has shown the ability to raise more.  That won't give her an advantage. Hillary has the party support behind her and in the end that is what I think will give her the nomination - assuming she...

What Happened In Iowa? - Republican version

The headlines are that Senator Ted Cruz won, Donald Trump came in second and Senator Marco Rubio third but let's look at why and what else happened that is significant. First, the why.  To begin with, Trump did not have quite the organization that Cruz did.  Winning a caucus process is not the same as winning an election.  Trump's personality got a lot of voters out but there are nuances to getting enough and winning in the caucus.  Also, I do believe some of the last minute dirty tricks by the Cruz campaign had an effect.  I think the letter from Cruz kept a few people home who were probably Trump supporters and passing on the incorrect information about Dr. Ben Carson resulted in Cruz picking up some of Carson's supporters. Some things that need to be recognized.  \Cruz's margin was not that big.  He was sagging in the polls.  Not quite enough to lose but close. Where people felt Trump skipping the Iowa debate was a mistake, I think it cost ...

Clinton campaign run by morons?

Whoever advised Hillary Clinton to call Donald Trump sexist is a moron.   Hillary called Donald Trump sexist and the Clinton Campaign must have expected the media to play the "War on Women" card and beat up Trump and that Trump, like so many others, would be forced on the defensive, unable or reluctant to fight back. Boy did they get that wrong.  What's that saying about how people who live in glass houses shouldn't throw stones? Donald Trump has responded with an ad pointing out that Hillary is married to a man that a NOW official in the 1990's suggested could be a sexual predator. Then the ad shows Hillary with Anthony Weiner, the man who repeatedly sexted pictures of his penis to women; and photos of Hillary with Bill Cosby, who is alleged to have drugged women to have sex with them. Like I said, whoever advised Hillary Clinton of all people to call Donald Trump a sexist is a stone cold moron. Interestingly, the media's reaction when Hillary calle...