Republicans shouldn't get cocky
Is there anyone who doesn't think the Republicans will retake control of both the U.S. House and Senate this year? Probably not - and that's the problem. All the polls we see are generic. They are asking questions about how people feel about the parties. The pollsters are asking would a generic Republican defeat a generic Democrat. Other polls are gauging people's feelings toward President Biden. Every indication is the Republicans will win big in both Houses of Congress. What could go wrong? Elections are not generic. Incumbents are not easy to unseat. Furthermore, elections involve Candidate A running against Candidate B in specific districts on specific issues. Candidates and parties also need money to run campaigns. Republicans can be facing an uphill fight on some or all of these points. Take incumbency - in Georgia a recent poll showed Herschel Walker running only a couple of points ahead of Democrat incumbent Sena...